Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001881 0.001968 0.002059 0.002161 0.002274 0.002394 0.002533
2025-05-25 0.001724 0.001844 0.001975 0.002130 0.002309 0.002514 0.002767
2025-06-01 0.001606 0.001745 0.001902 0.002094 0.002326 0.002603 0.002968
2025-06-08 0.001552 0.001710 0.001894 0.002126 0.002419 0.002787 0.003304
2025-06-15 0.001501 0.001673 0.001877 0.002142 0.002489 0.002946 0.003628
2025-06-22 0.001440 0.001619 0.001833 0.002119 0.002504 0.003028 0.003853
2025-06-29 0.001383 0.001565 0.001786 0.002086 0.002499 0.003080 0.004038
2025-07-06 0.001340 0.001526 0.001755 0.002070 0.002515 0.003161 0.004279
2025-07-13 0.001276 0.001456 0.001680 0.001992 0.002436 0.003090 0.004251
2025-07-20 0.001245 0.001428 0.001659 0.001984 0.002455 0.003172 0.004503
2025-07-27 0.001226 0.001414 0.001654 0.001998 0.002509 0.003310 0.004891
2025-08-03 0.001198 0.001387 0.001631 0.001983 0.002516 0.003374 0.005144
2025-08-10 0.001183 0.001378 0.001631 0.002005 0.002583 0.003551 0.005695
2025-08-17 0.001158 0.001355 0.001612 0.001997 0.002602 0.003646 0.006099
2025-08-24 0.001129 0.001325 0.001583 0.001972 0.002593 0.003687 0.006383
2025-08-31 0.001121 0.001323 0.001592 0.002003 0.002679 0.003921 0.007291
2025-09-07 0.001109 0.001314 0.001590 0.002019 0.002738 0.004114 0.008201
2025-09-14 0.001086 0.001290 0.001566 0.001999 0.002734 0.004172 0.008704
2025-09-21 0.001061 0.001263 0.001537 0.001969 0.002710 0.004186 0.009053
2025-09-28 0.001043 0.001244 0.001519 0.001955 0.002714 0.004259 0.009700
2025-10-05 0.001008 0.001201 0.001466 0.001885 0.002610 0.004078 0.009152
2025-10-12 0.000993 0.001187 0.001453 0.001877 0.002622 0.004165 0.009884
2025-10-19 0.000985 0.001181 0.001453 0.001890 0.002672 0.004352 0.011300